Blog Entry

Headin' into Philly

Posted on: July 4, 2008 1:32 pm
A little catching up on the Mets, inspired by Tartans' awesome post from earlier today setting up the series.  Great job as usual, Tartans!

If I were in Mets' management, I'd tell Moises Alou to chill in St. Lucie until the Thursday game after the All Star Break.  As much as I'd like to see him in the Phillies series, I'd much rather give him the greatest chance of playing depper into the summer than seeing him one and done.

I continue to be concerned about Marlon Anderson, but his 2-5 last night was encouraging.  It'd be nice to see Jose Reyes get his average over .300, and David Wright as well.

Ryan Church has made a nice return, with hits in all 5 games including 3 multi-hit games.

Glad to see that Carlos Delgado is hitting 'em long, but those 7 HR in 16 hits has come in 72 ABs.  That's hitting .222 over that stretch, and needs to get better.  He's 5 for his last 9, so maybe he's turning a bit of a corner.  Also had a SF last night, which another unnamed Carlos was not able to do the night before in a big spot.  I'm thinking that if Carlos Beltran had been able to knock Wright in after his triple, even if Pedro Feliciano gives up a 2 run bomb to Chris Duncan, we see Billy Wagner in the ninth with a 1 run lead.  Trou Glaus may still have gone yard, but I'm thinking that Billy gives him a bit more trouble than Carlos Muniz did.

And speaking about Carlos Beltran.  He hit .306 in May and .286 in June.  I'd take those numbers.  Only 3 HR in May, but 7 in June is nice.  Been around .380 for OBP all year, and slugging about .525 since May 1.  Also nice.  Nothing happening in 2 games in July, so the day off is a nice idea.  But at least in St. Louis the last 2 days, he's not looked good.  I mentioned the failure to drive in Wright, and he had a 3 pitch (I believe) looking K the other night that I couldn't understand.  Maybe he's a bit fatigued, and the day off will do wonders.  Helped David some, didn't it?

And for those who are looking to trade Beltran, I respectfully disagree.  Actually, if what I said what I really thought it'd be a TOS violation, and you know we can't have that.  Suffice it to say that I just don't get where the "Trade Beltran" crowd is coming from.

Endy Chavez had a nice night last night, going 2-5 with his usual outstanding OF play.  He's hitting .286 since June 1, and I won't complain about that.

Damion Easley has been great.  Since June 1 he's hitting .371.  Only 6 XBHs, but it's not like Luis Castillo was slugging .600.  In fact, all of Easley's numbers offensively surpass Castillo's.  Take time and get healthy, Luis.  Damion's got it covered.

Let's talk pitching.  Mike Pelfrey may have turned the corner.  Since June 1 he is 4-0 with two ND, 37.2 IP, 38 H, 13 ER, NO HR, 25K, 18 BB.  Analyzing this a bit further shows you an average of about 6.1 IP per start, an ERA of 3.11, WHIP of 1.43.  The walks are too high, affecting the WHIP and the K:BB ratio badly.  But looking further, he gave up 6 ER against the Angels in a win, and 4 ER against the Yankees in a win.  Other than that, 3 ER in 4 starts covering 26.2 IP against the Padres, Diamondbacks, Rockies, and Cardinals.  Sure the NL West is down, but 0 ER in Coors in 5.2 ain't too shabby.  5 out of those 6 starts have been on the road also, the only home game being the Arizona game.  Other than Angels and Yankees, 1.01 ERA since June 1.  Way to go, kid.

Starting this weekend for the Mets will be Johan Santana, John Maine, Oliver Perez, and then Pedro Martinez.

Johan does not deserve his 7-7 record.  Since June 1, he is 1-4 in 6 starts.  His early season bugaboo, the HR, slacked off in June to 2 in 39.2 IP.  He has been striking out 1 an inning, and his K:BB is better than 2:1.  His BB are somewhat up in June, and that's not good, but do you get the feeling that he thinks he needs to be perfect in order to win?  I do, and that's a bad recipe for a pitcher.  In any case, in his 6 starts the Mets scored him 6 (6-1 W), 1 (2-1 L), 0 (5-4 XI loss), 1 (6-1 L), 1 (5-2 L), and 2 (3-2 L) runs while he was in the game.  1, 0, 1, 1, 2, and we wonder why he has lost his last 4 decisions. 

The Mets are a team that individually and collectively is plagued by in attentiveness and lacks of concentration.  Apparently, it happens collectively at least every fifth day.  Johan should sue for non-support.  Forgot to mention.  His ERA in June?  2.27.  1-4 and 2.27.  Mets hitters should be ashamed (that's too benign, I know).

Next comes John Maine.  Wow.  He is the quintessential "enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in mystery" (with apologies to the actual originator of that phrase).<style type="text/css">e Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-parent:""; margin:0in; margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.25in 1.0in 1.25in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} -</style>  Maine's numbers in June are not great.  6 starts (3 home), 4.24 ERA, 34 IP (Less than 6 per start), He's 3-2, though.  But Johan would love the support Maine's getting.  Maybe he's not an enigma.  Maybe he's just been incredibly mediocre.  I think I will go with that.

Oliver Perez.  The human roller coaster.  6 June starts that went L, ND, W, ND, L, W.  Started off with the all-world 0.1 IP and 6 ER against the Giants (the Giants?  Come on).  Then starts against the Padres and Rangers that encompassed 12.1 IP and 2 ER.  Followed that up with 4 ER in 6 IP against the Angels.  Then 5 in 5 against the Mariners (nice job, Ollie).  But then 1 in 7 IP against the Yankess, who he has owned in his career.  Will the real Oliver Perez please stand up?  I am afraid that he has, and Ollie is likely always going to be a feast or famine pitcher.  Strangely, his K:BB was about 2.5:1 in June.  Where did that come from?  Against the Phillies this year he has 2 starts covering 11.1 IP and has given up 7 hits and no runs... while walking 8.  More hits than walks against a left hand-dominant hitting team.  Who knows what to expect on Sunday?

Pedro Martinez.  How painful has it been for a Mets fan to watch him pitching this year?  Numbers are not good.  Where's the silver lining?  Perhaps in that after the first inning against the Cardinals, he gave up 1 run in the next 4.  Generally speaking he has had tough first innings or two, but he also seems to tire easily and perhaps gets left in a bit too long (or the bullpen fails to rescue him - didn't spend the time to look up the details).  Three 2 HR against games isn't great either, but no HR against in any other game.  The Mets appear to be in a situation where they will need Pedro done the road, so hopefully he can get a few good starts under his belt because I've read that his confidenced has been rocked.

How's the bullpen been?  Feliciano, despite the big HR against St. Louis, has been good.  30 appearances, and in only been charged with a run in 9 of them.  ERA under 3.00, so that's a good job. 

Aaron Heilman?  Very strong June.  14 appearances with 1 ER in 14 IP.  14K and 4 BB.  1 HR allowed since May 1.  Bad luck getting a run charged against on the HR Feliciano gave up.  ERA against Philly this year is 18.00, so perhaps he might only play a minor role this weekend.  His confidence has to be better than it was back in April when he gave up 4 ER in 2 IP against Philly, though, so who knows?

Scott Schoeneweis had a tough June, in which he gave up 8 ER in 10 IP.  Actually, though, 6 of those game in 0.1 IP against the Giants and 0.2 IP against the Yankees.  His ERA is still under 3, so he's more than been holding his own.

Duaner Sanchez is a wild card after taking that shot off the inside of his knee.  Assuming he's OK, he had a decent June.  13 appearances, 15 IP, 6 ER.  5 of those came in back to back games against the Padres and Arizona covering 1.1 IP, so other than that he's given up 1 ER in his last 15.2 IP.  Interestingly, 8 out of the 15 ER he's given up this year have been in 2.0 innings against the D-backs.  The Mets don't face the D-backs anymore this year, right?

Moving on to Joe Smith.  Pitch the guy at night only, please, where his ERA is 1.40 in 25.2 IP versus an ERA of 9.39 during the day in 7.2 IP.  This guy used to be lights out against righties, but that seems to have changed lately.  His ERA against righties is now 3.54.  Heilman's is 1.59.  Use 'em right, Jerry.

And finally, Billy Wagner.  Remember the three blown saves in 3 days?  That remains the last time he's given up a run.  In fact, in 7 IP since, he's given up 2 hits and 2 walks.  Welcome back, Billy.  Also, if you take out the 3 game stretch in which he gave up 6 ER in 2.1 IP,  Billy has given up 1 earned run and 14 hits in 40.2 IP.  0.23 ERA anyone? 

Don't you love those cherry picked stats I have used?  I don't mean it in any way but to say that everyone has off days.  In Billy's case, it was an off three days, but other than that, he has been MONEY.

That's all I got.  Best of luck to the Mets this weekend.  Mets and Phillies haven't locked horns since April, and the Mets currently hold a 4-2 record, although the Phillies are certainly playingbetter than they were in April.  Let's see if the Mets can get out of Philadelphia 0.5 or 2.5 games back.  They would have to take 3 out of 4 or all 4 to do that, but stranger things have happened.  The Mets have 10 divisional games in July against Philly and the Marlins, so this might be the time to do it, if at all.  Only 14 games left against them after that.
Category: MLB
Tags: Mets

Since: Jun 23, 2008
Posted on: July 13, 2008 12:06 am

MLB at the break

Hey sports/life fans! Here we are at the unofficial mid-way point of the longest season in professional sports. Now there is much to discuss so post your thoughts on your feelings/views thus far. Me personally, I'm glad my NY Mets are H-O-T! With a 9th 'W' in a row on Sunday 07/13 & a Phillies loss, they can enter the break in first place. I'll be the first to say that I wanted them to throw in the towel & begin rebuilding for 2009 & beyond but their recent success is very welcome so long as they stop signing 52 year old has beens and give above market value and long term deals to over achieving 2B. I would LOVE to see some young talent a'la my favorite story so far this year, the very lovable Tampa Bay Rays. I understand that its very tough for a NY team to rebuild because of the demanding fans & unforgiving media, but the end result would win everybody back and then some. I'd love to hear your thoughts. Share the love, I'm looking to post some sexy avatars of my own so reply away!

On a more serious note, my deepest and sincerest condolences to the Murcer family and all Yankee family, friends & fans. Bobby was a class act and although I'm a Mets fan, I had very fond memories of him. I'm too young to remember watching him play but I did enjoy his commentary as a Yankee broadcaster. Bobby was a member of the MLB family and touched many hearts with his selflessness & dedication to numerous charities. Rest in peace Bobby. You'll be missed.

Since: Sep 25, 2007
Posted on: July 8, 2008 12:16 pm

Headin' into Philly

No kidding with the umpires.  How can they continuously get the calls right the first time only to get together and blow it.  Sounds like a good topic for a rant.  Maybe that will be my next one.  Seems like, and I could be wrong, that with Beltran's and Delgado's earlier this year, the umpires last night took where they game was being played (Philadelphia) and what the game situation was (10-3 game in the 7th, I believe) into account in changing the call.  Maybe that isn't fair, I don't know, but how 1 guy could be right in each case and 3 other guys get together to incorrectly overrule him or change his mind makes no sense.  The one thing I always liked about baseball over the NBA particularly and the NHL to a degree is that balls, strikes, safe, and out is the same whether it's the first inning or the ninth, and whether it's a tight game or a blowout.  Baseball has it's own quirks (some pitchers and some hitters get more love from the umps than others, and sometimes great defensive plays are rewarded even though the runner was safe), but in large measure the umpires aren't swayed by home/away issues or score issues.

Same can't be said for the NBA.  How can the same team win 90% of its home games and only 40-50% of its road games?  In the NHL, how can a game that has 75 penalty minutes in the first 2 periods have 2 minutes called in the third, and almost never against a team that is actually down on the scoreboard?

The NBA is much worse.  It's as though they have made a conscious decision that unless they make sure the home team wins, the fans won't come out.  They don't even trust their own product.  Needless to say, the NBA is about one small step above professional wrestling as far as that goes.

Since: Jun 4, 2008
Posted on: July 8, 2008 11:55 am

Headin' into Philly

The bats have been alive and finally in line with the pitching.  Still not catching any breaks with the umpires but you can't control that!

Since: Sep 25, 2007
Posted on: July 7, 2008 8:37 pm

Headin' into Philly

Thanks for coming by and posting.  I realize this one was a little dry, so I really appreciate the feedback.

Back to .500 with a 8-1 lead against a pitcher that has owned them.  Who'da thunk it?

Since: Jun 4, 2008
Posted on: July 7, 2008 5:11 pm

Headin' into Philly

Thanks for an excellent read.  There are positives we as Mets fans can look at.  Sometimes it's hard to see since everyone expected them to be better than a .500 club halfway thru the season. 

Since: Sep 25, 2007
Posted on: July 4, 2008 1:36 pm

Headin' into Philly

Sorry about the paragraph about Maine.  It was supposed to read:

Next comes John Maine.  Wow.  He is the quintessential "enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in mystery" (with apologies to the actual originator of that phrase).  Maine's numbers in June are not great.  6 starts (3 home), 4.24 ERA, 34 IP (Less than 6 per start), He's 3-2, though.  But Johan would love the support Maine's getting.  Maybe he's not an enigma.  Maybe he's just been incredibly mediocre.  I think I will go with that.

That's what I get for trying to find the original author of that phrase and for pasting it in from the Internet.  No good deed goes unpunished.

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